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(1). Scottish independence
苏格兰独立
(2). UK RIP?
大英联合帝国要完了？
(3). Ditching the union would be a mistake for Scotland and a tragedy for the country it leaves behind
苏格兰独立对苏格兰来说会是一个错误。对被其抛弃的英国来说，则更是一场悲剧
(4). 1:At least, they used to.
2:After the referendum on Scottish independence on September 18th, one of those layers—the UK—may cease to exist, at least in the form recognisable since the Act of Union three centuries ago.
3:As the vote nears, Scotland’s nationalists have caught up with the unionist No camp in the opinion polls, and even edged ahead (see article).
4:More and more Scots are deciding that the UK, which their soldiers, statesmen, philosophers and businessmen have done so much to build and ornament, does not cradle their Scottishness but smothers it.
5:This great multinational state could be undone in a single day, by a poll in which just 7% of its citizens will participate.
6:That outcome, once unthinkable, would be bad for Scotland and tragic for what remained of the UK.
2:After the referendum on Scottish independence on September 18th, one of those layers—the UK—may cease to exist, at least in the form recognisable since the Act of Union three centuries ago.
3:As the vote nears, Scotland’s nationalists have caught up with the unionist No camp in the opinion polls, and even edged ahead (see article).
4:More and more Scots are deciding that the UK, which their soldiers, statesmen, philosophers and businessmen have done so much to build and ornament, does not cradle their Scottishness but smothers it.
5:This great multinational state could be undone in a single day, by a poll in which just 7% of its citizens will participate.
6:That outcome, once unthinkable, would be bad for Scotland and tragic for what remained of the UK.
1:这一切都可能化为曾经。
2:9月18日苏格兰公投后，三个世纪前，通过联合法案建立的大英帝国可能就不复存在了。
3:公投日渐逼近，而民调显示，苏格兰独派渐渐追上了统派，甚至已经赶超。
4:越来越多的苏格兰人认为，他们的士兵、政治家、学者和企业家为其奉献和出力的英国不仅没有保护好他们的苏格兰传统，反而在损害它。
5:大英帝国这个多民族的国家也许会在一天内分崩瓦解，民调显示，7%的公民将参加公投。
6:苏格兰独立—这件曾以为永远不会发生的事—不仅对苏格兰不利，对英国更是一场悲剧。
2:9月18日苏格兰公投后，三个世纪前，通过联合法案建立的大英帝国可能就不复存在了。
3:公投日渐逼近，而民调显示，苏格兰独派渐渐追上了统派，甚至已经赶超。
4:越来越多的苏格兰人认为，他们的士兵、政治家、学者和企业家为其奉献和出力的英国不仅没有保护好他们的苏格兰传统，反而在损害它。
5:大英帝国这个多民族的国家也许会在一天内分崩瓦解，民调显示，7%的公民将参加公投。
6:苏格兰独立—这件曾以为永远不会发生的事—不仅对苏格兰不利，对英国更是一场悲剧。
(5). The damage a split would do
苏格兰独立的危害
(6). 1:The rump of Britain would be diminished in every international forum: why should anyone heed a country whose own people shun it?
2:Since Britain broadly stands for free trade and the maintenance of international order, this would be bad for the world.
3:Its status as a nuclear power would be doubtful: the country’s nuclear submarines are based in a Scottish loch and could not be moved quickly.
4:Britain would also be more likely to leave the European Union, since Scots are better disposed to Europe than are the English (and are less likely to vote for the Conservatives, who are promising a Euro-referendum if they win next year’s general election).
5:The prospect of a British exit from the EU would scare investors much more than a possible Scottish exit from Britain .
2:Since Britain broadly stands for free trade and the maintenance of international order, this would be bad for the world.
3:Its status as a nuclear power would be doubtful: the country’s nuclear submarines are based in a Scottish loch and could not be moved quickly.
4:Britain would also be more likely to leave the European Union, since Scots are better disposed to Europe than are the English (and are less likely to vote for the Conservatives, who are promising a Euro-referendum if they win next year’s general election).
5:The prospect of a British exit from the EU would scare investors much more than a possible Scottish exit from Britain .
1:苏格兰一旦分离出去，英国在国家上的地位将一落千丈：一个连自己国民都避之不及的国家还有何声誉可言？
2:而英国一直是自由世界和国际秩序维护的支持者，这样的局面对整个世界来说，也非常不利。
3:英国作为一个拥有核能源的国家地位也将备受质疑：英国的核潜艇基地就设在苏格兰，不可能在短期内完成转移。
4:英国也可能离开欧盟，因为苏格兰比英国更愿意加入欧盟，他们也不会投票给准备在明年赢得大选后举办对欧元公投的保守党。
5:英国将脱离欧盟的可能比苏格兰分离出英国的前景更会吓走投资者。
2:而英国一直是自由世界和国际秩序维护的支持者，这样的局面对整个世界来说，也非常不利。
3:英国作为一个拥有核能源的国家地位也将备受质疑：英国的核潜艇基地就设在苏格兰，不可能在短期内完成转移。
4:英国也可能离开欧盟，因为苏格兰比英国更愿意加入欧盟，他们也不会投票给准备在明年赢得大选后举办对欧元公投的保守党。
5:英国将脱离欧盟的可能比苏格兰分离出英国的前景更会吓走投资者。
(7). The people of Scotland alone will decide the future of Britain, and they are not obliged to worry about what becomes of the state they would leave. But—perhaps not surprisingly, given the endurance and success of the union, imperilled though it is—Scots’ own interests, and the rest of Britain’s, coincide.
英国的前途现在完全掌握在苏格兰人民手上了！而他们才不会关心这个已经被他们抛弃的国家未来会如何呢。尽管英联邦如今的状况也不佳，但它已团结了百年，也取得了诸多成就，所以不难看出，苏格兰和英国的利益其实是唇齿相依的。
(8). 1:At the heart of the nationalist campaign is the claim that Scotland would be a more prosperous and more equal country if it went solo.
2:It is rich in oil and inherently decent, say the nationalists, but impoverished by a government in Westminster that has also imposed callous policies.
3:They blame successive British governments for almost every ill that has befallen Scotland, from the decline of manufacturing industry to ill-health to the high price of sending parcels in the Highlands.
4:Alex Salmond, Scotland’s nationalist leader, is broad in his recrimination: Labour and the Tories are of a piece, he suggests, in their disregard for Scotland.
2:It is rich in oil and inherently decent, say the nationalists, but impoverished by a government in Westminster that has also imposed callous policies.
3:They blame successive British governments for almost every ill that has befallen Scotland, from the decline of manufacturing industry to ill-health to the high price of sending parcels in the Highlands.
4:Alex Salmond, Scotland’s nationalist leader, is broad in his recrimination: Labour and the Tories are of a piece, he suggests, in their disregard for Scotland.
1:苏格兰民族主义阵营的核心理念是，苏格兰在独立后将是一个更为富强和平等的主权国家。
2:他们说，苏格兰石油资源丰富，生来就是一个富饶的国家，但却被英国政府制定的苛刻政策所不断压榨。
3:他们列举了历届英国政府的条条罪状：减少石油加工厂，人民健康危机，以及将石油高价高价卖给苏格兰等。
4:苏格兰民族党领袖艾利克斯·萨尔蒙德（Alex Salmond）更是对英政府百般责难：管你工党还是托利党，还不都是沆瀣一气，全然不顾苏格兰的利益。
2:他们说，苏格兰石油资源丰富，生来就是一个富饶的国家，但却被英国政府制定的苛刻政策所不断压榨。
3:他们列举了历届英国政府的条条罪状：减少石油加工厂，人民健康危机，以及将石油高价高价卖给苏格兰等。
4:苏格兰民族党领袖艾利克斯·萨尔蒙德（Alex Salmond）更是对英政府百般责难：管你工党还是托利党，还不都是沆瀣一气，全然不顾苏格兰的利益。
(9). 1:But Scotland’s relative economic decline is the result not of southern neglect but of the shift of manufacturing and shipping to Asia.
2:If Westminster has not reversed all the deleterious effects of globalisation and technology, that is because to do so is impossible.
3:The nationalists know this, which is why, sotto voce, they would continue many of Westminster’s policies.
4:Instead they make much of minor adjustments, such as abolishing the “bedroom tax”, a recent measure designed to nudge people out of too-large social housing.
5:To break up a country over such small, recent annoyances would be nuts.
2:If Westminster has not reversed all the deleterious effects of globalisation and technology, that is because to do so is impossible.
3:The nationalists know this, which is why, sotto voce, they would continue many of Westminster’s policies.
4:Instead they make much of minor adjustments, such as abolishing the “bedroom tax”, a recent measure designed to nudge people out of too-large social housing.
5:To break up a country over such small, recent annoyances would be nuts.
1:但苏格兰经济衰退，其罪魁并非英国政府，而是制造业和运输业向亚洲转移的结果。
2:英国政府也无法阻挡全球化和科技发展所带来的负面效应。
3:偷偷滴说一句，苏格兰民族党也明白这一点，所以他们仍会保留英国政府制定的诸多政策。
4:目前他们只是做出了一些小改变，如废除近期英国颁布的针对空置房屋的卧室税。
5:但为了近期发生的这么点小不满就要分裂一个国家也太不明智了。
2:英国政府也无法阻挡全球化和科技发展所带来的负面效应。
3:偷偷滴说一句，苏格兰民族党也明白这一点，所以他们仍会保留英国政府制定的诸多政策。
4:目前他们只是做出了一些小改变，如废除近期英国颁布的针对空置房屋的卧室税。
5:但为了近期发生的这么点小不满就要分裂一个国家也太不明智了。
(10). 1:The nationalists’ economics are also flawed.
2:Scotland would not, in fact, be richer alone.
3:The taxes that would flow to it from the North Sea would roughly compensate for the extra cost of its lavish state, which would no longer be funded by Westminster (last year spending was some 1,300 per person higher in Scotland than elsewhere in Britain).
4:But oil revenues are erratic.
5:They would have earned Scotland 11.5 billion in 2008-09 but only 5.5 billion in 2012-13.
6:If an independent state were to smooth these fluctuations by setting up an oil fund, it would have less cash to spend now.
7:In any case, the oil is gradually running out. In order to maintain state spending after it is gone, taxes would have to rise.
8:And a crunch might come much sooner.
9:Foreign investors and big businesses that mostly serve English customers could well move south.
2:Scotland would not, in fact, be richer alone.
3:The taxes that would flow to it from the North Sea would roughly compensate for the extra cost of its lavish state, which would no longer be funded by Westminster (last year spending was some 1,300 per person higher in Scotland than elsewhere in Britain).
4:But oil revenues are erratic.
5:They would have earned Scotland 11.5 billion in 2008-09 but only 5.5 billion in 2012-13.
6:If an independent state were to smooth these fluctuations by setting up an oil fund, it would have less cash to spend now.
7:In any case, the oil is gradually running out. In order to maintain state spending after it is gone, taxes would have to rise.
8:And a crunch might come much sooner.
9:Foreign investors and big businesses that mostly serve English customers could well move south.
1:民族党经济学家们的观点也同样存在缺陷。
2:苏格兰单打独斗是不可能富强起来的。
3:虽然依靠北海所征得的税收基本可以满足一个国家的其他需求，但它将再得不到英国政府的资金支持（去年英国政府向苏格兰提供的资金高达人均1300英镑，这个数字是整个英国地区最高的）。
4:可是石油的盈利是不稳定的。
5:2008年到2009年间，苏格兰的石油盈利为一千一百五十亿英镑，但在2012年到2013年，石油的盈利就降到了五百五十亿英镑。
6:一个独立国家如果想要通过建立石油资金以稳定这样的收入波动，那它现有的资金就所剩无几了。
7:而且不管怎么样，石油终将会枯竭，一旦如此，国家就必须通过提高税收以继续维持。
8:财政困难的局面可能比预期的会还要早。
9:面对英国消费者的国外投资者和企业也会转移到南部。
2:苏格兰单打独斗是不可能富强起来的。
3:虽然依靠北海所征得的税收基本可以满足一个国家的其他需求，但它将再得不到英国政府的资金支持（去年英国政府向苏格兰提供的资金高达人均1300英镑，这个数字是整个英国地区最高的）。
4:可是石油的盈利是不稳定的。
5:2008年到2009年间，苏格兰的石油盈利为一千一百五十亿英镑，但在2012年到2013年，石油的盈利就降到了五百五十亿英镑。
6:一个独立国家如果想要通过建立石油资金以稳定这样的收入波动，那它现有的资金就所剩无几了。
7:而且不管怎么样，石油终将会枯竭，一旦如此，国家就必须通过提高税收以继续维持。
8:财政困难的局面可能比预期的会还要早。
9:面对英国消费者的国外投资者和企业也会转移到南部。
(11). 1:Westminster has ruled out a currency union—correctly, given that the nationalists propose a deficit-widening fiscal splurge and that the assets of Scottish banks are an alarming 12 times the country’s GDP.
2:It might relent, but only if Scotland agrees to such strict oversight that independence ends up meaning little.
3:The nationalists say that kinks over currency and the like could be worked out amicably—that it would not be in Britain’s interests to antagonise its new northern neighbour, particularly since (they hint darkly) Scotland could refuse to take on its share of the national debt.
4:They are far too sanguine.
5:If Scotland goes, the rest of Britain will be furious, both at the Scots and at their own leaders, who will be impelled to drive a hard bargain.
2:It might relent, but only if Scotland agrees to such strict oversight that independence ends up meaning little.
3:The nationalists say that kinks over currency and the like could be worked out amicably—that it would not be in Britain’s interests to antagonise its new northern neighbour, particularly since (they hint darkly) Scotland could refuse to take on its share of the national debt.
4:They are far too sanguine.
5:If Scotland goes, the rest of Britain will be furious, both at the Scots and at their own leaders, who will be impelled to drive a hard bargain.
1:英国政府已经表示，不会与苏格兰组成货币联盟。这是肯定的，毕竟民族党准备扩大财政赤字，而苏格兰银行的资产是其国内生产总值（GDP）的十二倍。
2:当然这事还有的商量，但前提是苏格兰必须停止闹独立。....(please sign in for more)
2:当然这事还有的商量，但前提是苏格兰必须停止闹独立。....(please sign in for more)
(12). 1:Mr Salmond is on stronger ground when he argues that if Scotland does not leave Britain it might be dragged out of the EU against its will.
2:This is indeed a danger, but in going independent Scotland would swap the possibility of an EU exit for a certain future as a small, vulnerable country. Its best hope of remaining influential is to stay put, and fight the Eurosceptics.
2:This is indeed a danger, but in going independent Scotland would swap the possibility of an EU exit for a certain future as a small, vulnerable country. Its best hope of remaining influential is to stay put, and fight the Eurosceptics.
1:萨尔蒙德最有利的观点就是苏格兰不脱离英国，它就很可能被迫离开欧盟。
2:这的确是一害。但如果苏格兰独立，作为一个实力不强的小国，它还是可能被逐出欧盟。苏格兰最好的选择还是留在英国，并与欧盟反对者....(please sign in for more)
2:这的确是一害。但如果苏格兰独立，作为一个实力不强的小国，它还是可能被逐出欧盟。苏格兰最好的选择还是留在英国，并与欧盟反对者....(please sign in for more)
(13). A lot to lose
沉重的代价....(please sign in for more)
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