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经济学人: 疫情下的租房驱逐保护令(2)

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(1). 1:A deus ex machina of sorts has come from the Centres for Disease Control (CDC), the federal public-health agency that is occasionally the target of the president’s scorn.
2:Arguing that evictions hasten the spread of the virus, it issued a sweeping moratorium starting on September 4th that applies to most renters nationwide (excepting American Samoa, which has been spared even a single case of covid-19).
3:This came after an executive order from President Donald Trump that sought to “take all lawful measures to prevent residential evictions and foreclosures”.
4:To qualify, renters must certify that they earn less than $99,000 and are unable to pay even after seeking government assistance.
5:However, they must still make “timely partial payments” and will still owe back-rent.
1:美国疾病控制中心已经有了某种扭转乾坤的力量,尽管特朗普总统偶尔对这个联邦公共卫生机构表示轻蔑。
2:美国疾病控制中心认为驱逐加速了病毒的传播,并为此颁布了一项全面禁止驱逐令,该法令于9月4日生效,且适用于全国大多数的租客。(美属萨摩亚除外,该国未出现新冠肺炎确诊病例)。
3:此前,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普发布了一项行政命令,要求“采取一切合法措施,暂停驱逐房客和暂停止赎”。
4:租房者必须证明自己的收入低于9.9万美元,并且即使寻求政府援助后也无法支付租金,才算符合条件。
5:然而,他们仍需“及时支付部分房租”,且仍旧拖欠租金。
(2). 1:The public-health rationale for the decision is straightforward.
2:A team of epidemiologists at Harvard, the University of Illinois and the University of Pennsylvania has published a model estimating that even a low eviction rate (0.25% of households per month) would increase caseloads by 1.5% by the end of the year.
3:But a high eviction rate (2% of households per month) would increase cases by 13%.
4:The nonmedical consequences of pausing evictions could prove equally important.
5:Studies of the last recession showed that moving several times a year was associated with worse performance at school, the effects of which linger over a lifetime.
6:And since evictions are caused by a failure to pay rent, reduced housing costs may allow increased spending on other necessities for struggling families.
1:美国政府这一决策的公共卫生理由直截了当。
2:哈佛大学、伊利诺伊大学和宾夕法尼亚大学的流行病学家团队发表了一个模型,预估即使是低驱逐率的情况(每月有0.25%的家庭被驱逐),也会导致年底病例新增1.5%。
3:而高驱逐率的情况下(每月有2%的家庭被驱逐),年底病例新增13%。
4:禁止驱逐令引发的非医疗方面的后果可能同样重要。
5:由上一次经济衰退的研究表明,每年多次搬家会导致学校成绩表现不佳,这种影响会持续一生。
6:而且,困难家庭由于无法支付租金而受到驱逐,住房成本降低了,但随之可能会花费更多的钱在其他必需品上。
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